Economic History

Trump Inauguration Economy Tariffs A Deep Dive

Trump inauguration economy tariffs sparked a flurry of economic activity and international trade disputes. The economic climate leading up to Trump’s inauguration was marked by fluctuating GDP, unemployment, and inflation rates, setting the stage for significant policy changes. This analysis delves into the key economic policies, tariffs, and their impacts on various industries, international trade relations, and the overall economic performance following the inauguration.

We’ll explore the specific types of tariffs imposed, the targeted countries, and the justifications behind them. Furthermore, we’ll examine the economic consequences, such as the effects on specific industries, import/export figures, consumer prices, and international trade relationships. This detailed look will encompass a variety of perspectives, from the administration’s rationale to alternative viewpoints and criticisms of the policies.

Table of Contents

Trump’s Inauguration: Economic Context

Trump inauguration economy tariffs

The economic landscape leading up to Donald Trump’s inauguration in January 2017 was a complex mix of optimism and apprehension. The preceding years had seen a recovery from the 2008 financial crisis, but concerns lingered about income inequality, stagnant wages for many, and the perceived slow pace of job creation. This backdrop fueled both support for and opposition to Trump’s economic agenda, which promised significant change.

Economic Indicators Leading Up to the Inauguration

The economic indicators leading up to Trump’s inauguration painted a picture of a recovering but uneven economy. Growth was present, but concerns remained about its inclusivity. A detailed look at key economic figures provides a clearer understanding of the climate.

Date Indicator Value Description
2016 Q4 GDP Growth Rate 3.5% The US economy experienced a modest but positive growth rate, signaling recovery from the recession.
2016 Q4 Unemployment Rate 4.7% The unemployment rate remained relatively low, indicating a healthy labor market, but significant disparities remained.
2016 Q4 Inflation Rate 1.3% Inflation was relatively low, indicating price stability and supporting economic growth.
2016 Q4 Consumer Confidence 98.0 Consumer confidence, though not exceptionally high, suggested a generally positive outlook for the economy.

Prevailing Economic Theories and Perspectives

A variety of economic theories and perspectives existed regarding the future of the US economy. Some economists anticipated continued growth, fueled by factors such as rising consumer spending and ongoing technological advancements. Others expressed concerns about the potential for trade wars and the impact of protectionist policies. The debate about the appropriate economic policies for the country was intense and multifaceted.

Political and Social Factors Influencing Economic Mood

The political and social environment heavily influenced the economic mood. Political polarization affected public trust in various institutions, including the government’s ability to manage the economy. Social anxieties about income inequality and the perceived slow pace of change contributed to economic uncertainty. These factors all played a significant role in shaping the economic environment during that time.

Tariffs Imposed During Trump’s Presidency

The Trump administration implemented significant trade policies, including tariffs, as a core component of its economic strategy. These policies aimed to protect American industries and jobs, and were often met with international pushback and debate. Understanding the types, targets, rationale, and impacts of these tariffs is crucial for evaluating their overall effectiveness and consequences.

Types of Tariffs Imposed

The Trump administration imposed various types of tariffs, primarily targeting imported goods. These included both ad valorem tariffs (a percentage of the value of the imported good) and specific tariffs (a fixed amount per unit). The choice of tariff type often depended on the specific good and the desired outcome.

Countries Targeted by Tariffs

Tariffs were applied to goods originating from numerous countries, most notably China, but also encompassing Canada, Mexico, the European Union, and others. These tariffs were often part of broader trade disputes and negotiations.

Rationale Behind the Tariffs (According to Official Statements)

The rationale behind these tariffs, according to official statements, centered on the belief that foreign countries were engaging in unfair trade practices, including intellectual property theft, dumping, and subsidies. The goal was to level the playing field for American businesses. A key argument was the belief that these practices harmed American industries and jobs.

Industries Affected by Tariffs

Numerous industries were affected by the tariffs, including agriculture (soybeans, certain livestock products), manufacturing (steel, aluminum), and technology. These sectors faced varying degrees of disruption and economic challenges due to the tariffs’ implementation.

Comparison of Tariff Rates Before and After Trump’s Presidency

Tariff rates varied significantly before and after the Trump presidency. While some tariffs existed previously, the Trump administration significantly increased the rates on various imported goods. Analyzing the tariff rates before and after allows for a comparison of the overall trade environment.

Tariff Rates and Targeted Goods

Country Targeted Goods Tariff Rate (%)
China Technology, consumer goods, agricultural products Varying, often exceeding 10%
Canada Steel, aluminum 25% on steel and 10% on aluminum
Mexico Steel, aluminum, agricultural products Varying, often exceeding 10%
European Union Steel, aluminum, agricultural products Varying, often exceeding 10%

Note: Tariff rates are subject to change and vary depending on the specific good and time period.

Economic Impact of Tariffs: Trump Inauguration Economy Tariffs

The imposition of tariffs during the Trump presidency significantly altered the economic landscape, impacting various sectors and international trade relations. Understanding the effects requires a deep dive into the specifics of how tariffs affected industries, consumer spending, and global trade dynamics. The following analysis details the substantial shifts in economic activity that followed these policies.Tariffs, essentially taxes on imported goods, were intended to protect domestic industries and encourage American production.

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However, the actual economic consequences proved to be complex and multifaceted, often affecting not only the targeted industries but also consumers and international partners. This analysis will examine the specifics of how tariffs played out in different sectors.

Effects on Specific Industries

Tariffs directly impacted specific industries, primarily those reliant on imported materials or competing with foreign producers. The steel and aluminum industries, for example, experienced a boost in domestic production due to the tariffs, but faced repercussions in other industries that used these materials as inputs. The automotive sector was heavily affected as steel and aluminum are essential components.

This resulted in price increases and potential supply chain disruptions. The agricultural sector also bore the brunt of the tariffs, particularly industries that rely on exporting goods to countries that imposed retaliatory tariffs.

Impact on Import/Export Figures

Analyzing import/export figures before and after tariff implementation is crucial to understanding the economic impact. A decline in imports from targeted countries and a corresponding shift in sourcing for American businesses were observed. The subsequent retaliatory tariffs from other countries often led to reduced exports for American companies. However, the extent of these shifts varied significantly between different product categories and industries.

Comparison of Economic Consequences Across Sectors

The impact of tariffs varied significantly between sectors. The manufacturing sector, particularly those using imported components, faced higher costs and potentially reduced output. The agricultural sector, heavily reliant on exports to certain markets, experienced significant losses due to retaliatory tariffs. The effects on services were less direct but still present, with potential disruptions to supply chains and reduced demand.

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Impact on Consumer Prices and Spending

Tariffs often led to increased prices for consumers as import costs rose. This had a direct impact on consumer spending, particularly for goods affected by the tariffs. The consumer price index (CPI) data for the period showed notable increases for some items, which suggests a negative effect on the purchasing power of consumers.

Impact on International Trade Relations, Trump inauguration economy tariffs

The imposition of tariffs significantly strained international trade relations. Countries retaliated with their own tariffs, leading to trade disputes and a decrease in overall global trade. This created uncertainty and instability in the international marketplace.

Changes in Import/Export Values for Different Products

Product Category Import Value (Pre-Tariff) Import Value (Post-Tariff) Export Value (Pre-Tariff) Export Value (Post-Tariff)
Steel $X Billion $Y Billion $A Billion $B Billion
Aluminum $C Billion $D Billion $E Billion $F Billion
Agricultural Products (e.g., soybeans) $G Billion $H Billion $I Billion $J Billion

Note

Replace X, Y, A, B, C, D, E, F, G, H, I, and J with actual data values from reliable sources. The values are illustrative and should be substituted with accurate figures.

Economic Policies Related to Trump’s Inauguration

The Trump administration’s economic policies, announced and implemented during and after his inauguration, significantly impacted various sectors of the US economy. These policies, ranging from tax cuts to trade initiatives, aimed to stimulate growth and reshape the nation’s economic landscape. The consequences of these actions were multifaceted and sparked considerable debate among economists, businesses, and the public.These policies represented a departure from previous approaches, promising a revitalized economy through targeted interventions.

The intended outcomes, while articulated with conviction, often faced scrutiny regarding their effectiveness and long-term impact. Understanding these policies and their potential consequences is crucial for evaluating their role in shaping the American economic narrative.

Key Economic Policies

The Trump administration implemented a range of economic policies after the inauguration, aimed at boosting economic growth and altering the nation’s economic landscape. These policies were often characterized by a focus on deregulation, tax cuts, and protectionist trade measures.

  • Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017: This legislation significantly lowered corporate and individual income tax rates. The intended outcomes included increased investment, job creation, and economic growth. Critics argued that the benefits would primarily accrue to the wealthy, while the long-term impact on overall economic performance remained uncertain. Many economists, while recognizing the potential for some economic stimulus, voiced concerns about the potential for increased national debt and income inequality.

  • Infrastructure Investment: The administration advocated for substantial investment in infrastructure projects, aiming to improve roads, bridges, and other public works. The projected outcomes included enhanced productivity, job creation, and improved transportation networks. However, the specific details and funding mechanisms for these projects remained somewhat vague, creating uncertainty about their eventual implementation and impact.
  • Trade Policies: The administration implemented protectionist trade policies, including tariffs on imported goods from certain countries. The intended objectives included protecting American industries, jobs, and national security. The potential consequences included trade wars, retaliatory measures from other countries, and potential disruptions to global supply chains. The impact on consumers and businesses remained a contentious issue, with some anticipating higher prices and others anticipating the benefits of domestic production.

Intended Outcomes and Potential Consequences

The policies implemented aimed to stimulate economic growth, reduce the national debt, and promote job creation. The anticipated results often hinged on factors like the effectiveness of the policies, their impact on consumer and business confidence, and the responses from other nations.

  • Tax Cuts: Proponents believed tax cuts would incentivize investment and boost economic activity. Critics, however, warned of increased national debt and widening income inequality. Historical data on tax cuts and their impact on economic growth are often analyzed to assess the validity of these claims.
  • Infrastructure Spending: Increased infrastructure spending was expected to create jobs and improve the nation’s infrastructure. However, the potential for overspending, bureaucratic delays, and lack of clear project prioritization posed challenges. Examples of successful infrastructure projects from previous administrations can offer insights into best practices.
  • Trade Policies: Protectionist trade policies aimed to shield domestic industries. However, the potential for retaliatory tariffs and disruptions to global trade flows could negatively affect American businesses and consumers. The impact of trade wars on economic performance in past instances can be examined to assess the potential risks.

Stakeholder Reactions

The economic policies implemented during the Trump administration generated diverse reactions from various stakeholders. Businesses, labor unions, consumers, and international organizations voiced their perspectives on the potential impacts of these policies.

  • Businesses: Some businesses supported the tax cuts and infrastructure initiatives, expecting benefits from reduced costs and improved infrastructure. However, others expressed concerns about the potential for trade wars and their impact on global supply chains.
  • Labor Unions: Labor unions generally had mixed reactions, with some concerned about job displacement due to trade policies. Others believed that infrastructure projects could create jobs and improve working conditions.
  • Consumers: Consumers experienced mixed outcomes depending on their individual circumstances. Some benefited from lower prices, while others faced higher costs due to tariffs. Public opinion polls and surveys can shed light on the diverse views of consumers.
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Policy Summary Table

Policy Aim Anticipated Results
Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 Reduce corporate and individual income tax rates Increased investment, job creation, economic growth
Infrastructure Investment Improve roads, bridges, and public works Enhanced productivity, job creation, improved transportation networks
Trade Policies (Tariffs) Protect American industries, jobs, and national security Protection of domestic industries, job creation, reduced imports

Trade Wars and Global Implications

The Trump administration’s trade policies, particularly the imposition of tariffs on various goods, sparked a series of trade disputes that significantly impacted global trade patterns. These actions, often characterized by retaliatory measures, raised concerns about the future of international economic cooperation and the stability of global supply chains. The ripple effects were felt across numerous industries and countries, leading to complex economic consequences that continue to be analyzed and debated.

Initiation of Trade Wars

The Trump administration initiated trade wars primarily targeting China, imposing tariffs on a wide range of goods, including steel, aluminum, and various consumer products. These tariffs were justified on the grounds of national security and unfair trade practices. The actions were intended to reduce the trade deficit and protect American industries. These policies aimed to pressure other nations to change their trade practices, but they had far-reaching consequences for the global economy.

International Responses to Tariffs

Nations targeted by the tariffs responded with retaliatory measures, imposing tariffs on American goods. This led to a cycle of escalating trade restrictions, creating uncertainty and disruption in global markets. Many countries, including the European Union, Canada, and Mexico, expressed concerns about the negative impact on their economies and trade relationships. The resulting trade disputes led to a decrease in international trade volumes in some sectors.

Long-Term Consequences on Global Trade Patterns

The trade wars initiated by the Trump administration had long-term consequences on global trade patterns. The imposition of tariffs created uncertainty and instability in global markets, affecting supply chains and investment decisions. The disputes also impacted international cooperation, leading to a decline in trust between nations. The shift towards protectionist trade policies had the potential to weaken the multilateral trading system, which had governed global trade for decades.

Retaliatory Actions by Affected Countries

Numerous countries retaliated against the tariffs imposed by the Trump administration. For example, China imposed tariffs on American agricultural products like soybeans and pork. The European Union responded by imposing tariffs on American goods, including steel and aluminum. Canada and Mexico also implemented retaliatory measures. The escalating trade disputes led to higher prices for consumers and decreased export revenues for American companies.

Key Players in Trade Disputes

The trade disputes involved several key players, including the United States, China, the European Union, Canada, and Mexico. These nations held differing perspectives on trade practices and the role of tariffs in international trade. The disputes involved complex negotiations and legal challenges.

Country Response to Tariffs Impact
China Imposed tariffs on American agricultural products, technology, and other goods. Reduced trade volume between the two countries, impacted Chinese and American businesses, and led to increased prices for consumers in both countries.
European Union Imposed tariffs on American steel and aluminum, as well as other products. Caused trade friction and uncertainty for businesses in both regions, increased costs for European consumers, and disrupted supply chains.
Canada & Mexico Implemented retaliatory tariffs on American goods, impacting industries such as agriculture and manufacturing. Reduced trade volume, increased costs for consumers, and disrupted supply chains in North America.
Other Countries Implemented various retaliatory measures and expressed concerns about the impact of the trade wars on their economies. Resulted in increased uncertainty in global markets and a decline in international trade volumes in some sectors.

Economic Performance After Trump’s Inauguration

The economic landscape following Donald Trump’s 2017 inauguration was marked by a blend of optimism and uncertainty. While proponents lauded the administration’s policies as catalysts for growth, critics pointed to potential downsides, particularly regarding the impact on trade relationships and inflation. This period saw significant shifts in various economic indicators, leading to varied outcomes for different segments of the population.

GDP Growth Rate

The GDP growth rate during Trump’s presidency exhibited fluctuations. Initial projections indicated potential acceleration, but the actual trajectory varied from quarter to quarter. Factors such as tax cuts, increased government spending, and the prevailing global economic climate played crucial roles in shaping the GDP growth rate. Understanding the intricacies of these factors is essential to comprehending the overall economic performance during this period.

Employment Figures

Employment figures showed a notable increase in job creation across various sectors. The unemployment rate decreased during parts of this period, contributing to a positive narrative around economic expansion. However, a deeper analysis reveals potential nuances, such as the types of jobs created and whether they aligned with the skills of the available workforce. This necessitates further examination of the quality of jobs created alongside the overall quantity.

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Inflation Rates

Inflation rates experienced periods of both moderate increases and stability. The interplay between supply and demand, and the impact of government policies, influenced the inflation rate. The effects of these policies on different sectors of the economy need careful consideration. This requires a comprehensive examination of the inflation data across different sectors to draw accurate conclusions.

Influence of Economic Policies

The economic policies implemented during this period, including tax cuts and deregulation efforts, aimed to stimulate economic growth. The rationale behind these policies and their intended impact were presented as key drivers of economic expansion. However, the extent to which these policies influenced the observed economic trends remains a subject of ongoing debate.

Factors Contributing to Economic Trends

Several factors contributed to the observed economic trends. These included the global economic climate, the level of consumer confidence, and the performance of key sectors like manufacturing and technology. Each of these factors warrants careful examination to assess their relative impact.

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Impact on Different Demographic Groups

The impact of economic policies on various demographic groups differed. Certain sectors and communities might have benefited more than others, necessitating a thorough analysis of the effects on different segments of the population. Examining income inequality and its relation to the economic policies is essential for a comprehensive understanding.

Economic Indicators Over Time

Indicator 2017 2018 2019 2020
GDP Growth Rate (%) 2.3 3.0 2.3 -3.5
Unemployment Rate (%) 4.4 3.9 3.5 8.1
Inflation Rate (%) 2.1 2.4 1.8 1.4

Note: Data presented in the table is illustrative and may not reflect the exact figures. More detailed and precise data can be found from reliable sources such as the Bureau of Economic Analysis and the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Alternative Perspectives on Economic Impact

Trump inauguration economy tariffs

The economic impact of President Trump’s trade policies, particularly tariffs, sparked intense debate and generated a wide range of perspectives. While proponents often emphasized potential benefits like protecting domestic industries and fostering American jobs, critics highlighted potential negative consequences, including increased prices for consumers and disruptions to global supply chains. Understanding these diverse viewpoints is crucial to evaluating the overall effects of these policies.A nuanced understanding of the economic impact requires considering multiple perspectives, recognizing that economic models and theories often produce differing conclusions based on assumptions and methodologies.

Analyzing the evidence from various sources, including academic research and expert opinions, is essential for a comprehensive evaluation of the complex interplay of factors affecting the economy.

Alternative Viewpoints on Tariff Impacts

The economic effects of tariffs are complex and multifaceted, with various schools of thought offering contrasting interpretations. Some economists argue that tariffs can benefit domestic industries by increasing their competitiveness, while others contend that the negative effects on consumers and global trade outweigh any potential benefits. The following viewpoints demonstrate this diversity of opinion.

  • Protectionist Viewpoint: Proponents of tariffs often argue that they shield domestic industries from foreign competition, allowing them to grow and create jobs. They point to instances where tariffs have seemingly supported domestic production, though the causal link between tariff implementation and specific outcomes can be difficult to isolate. For example, some argue that tariffs can help struggling industries regain market share or maintain jobs during economic downturns.

  • Free Trade Viewpoint: Economists advocating for free trade generally oppose tariffs, arguing that they distort markets, reduce overall efficiency, and harm consumers by increasing prices. The theory of comparative advantage, a cornerstone of free trade economics, suggests that global trade, unencumbered by tariffs, leads to greater overall economic gains for all participating nations. For example, studies often show that tariffs can lead to reduced export volumes for the imposing nation, impacting international trade relationships.

  • National Security Argument: Some argue that tariffs are necessary for national security reasons, safeguarding industries vital to national defense. This perspective emphasizes the need for self-sufficiency in certain sectors, though the practical application of this argument can be contentious and susceptible to political pressures.

Criticisms of Trump’s Economic Policies

Critics of President Trump’s economic policies, particularly the imposition of tariffs, often highlight several key concerns. These criticisms range from accusations of market manipulation to potential negative effects on global trade relationships.

  • Consumer Price Increases: Tariffs can increase the prices of imported goods, ultimately raising consumer costs. This impact is often felt disproportionately by lower-income households, who spend a larger percentage of their income on essential goods. Evidence from various studies suggests a correlation between tariff implementation and higher prices for consumers, although quantifying the exact impact can be challenging.

  • Retaliatory Tariffs and Trade Wars: The imposition of tariffs often triggers retaliatory measures from other countries, resulting in trade wars. These wars can disrupt global supply chains, reduce international trade, and harm businesses reliant on international markets. Examples from the Trump administration’s trade policies illustrate the potential for escalating trade disputes and their negative consequences for economic growth.

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  • Reduced Economic Growth: Some economists argue that trade wars and the associated uncertainty can negatively affect economic growth by reducing investment, hindering innovation, and discouraging international collaboration. Historical data and economic models often show a correlation between trade conflicts and reduced GDP growth.

Comparison of Economic Schools of Thought

Different economic schools of thought offer contrasting perspectives on the efficacy and impact of tariffs.

Economic School of Thought Perspective on Tariffs Key Arguments
Protectionism Favors tariffs Protection of domestic industries, job creation, national security.
Free Trade Opposes tariffs Increased efficiency, lower consumer prices, greater overall gains.
Keynesian Economics Mixed views Potential for short-term benefits in specific industries, but concerns about negative global effects.

Criticisms and Counterarguments

The criticisms of Trump’s tariffs are often countered with arguments about protecting domestic industries and creating jobs. However, critics argue that these benefits are often outweighed by the negative consequences, including increased consumer costs, retaliatory measures, and disruptions to global trade.

Illustrative Visualizations

Visual representations are crucial for understanding complex economic data, particularly when analyzing the impact of policies like tariffs and trade wars. These visualizations allow us to grasp the trends and relationships more readily than just looking at numbers. This section offers charts and graphs to illustrate the economic changes during the Trump presidency, highlighting the effects of tariffs and trade wars on specific industries and the broader global economy.

GDP Growth During Trump’s Presidency

Analyzing GDP growth provides a key perspective on economic performance. The following chart displays the annual GDP growth rates during the period of the Trump administration, compared to the previous administration. This comparison helps illustrate the trajectory of economic growth and any potential correlations with policies implemented during that time.

Year GDP Growth Rate (Trump Administration) GDP Growth Rate (Previous Administration)
2017 2.2% 1.6%
2018 3.0% 2.5%
2019 2.5% 2.3%
2020 -3.5% 2.0%
2021 5.5% -3.5%

Note: Data is illustrative and may vary depending on the source. GDP growth rates are influenced by a multitude of factors, and direct causal links between policies and specific growth figures are difficult to definitively establish.

Impact of Tariffs on Specific Industries

Tariffs can significantly affect various sectors. The following graph demonstrates the potential impact on industries such as steel, agriculture (e.g., soybeans), and automobiles. The graph would show the estimated percentage change in industry value added or employment due to the imposition of tariffs.

Example: A decrease of 5% in steel production value after the imposition of tariffs.

International Trade and Tariffs: Complex Relationships

The imposition of tariffs creates a complex web of relationships within international trade. This diagram illustrates the intricate interplay between tariffs, trade balances, global supply chains, and retaliatory actions. The diagram should visually depict the interconnectedness of these elements and the potential ripple effects of tariffs across different countries and industries.

Trade War Dynamics

The trade war dynamics, particularly between the U.S. and China, can be depicted as a cycle of escalating tariffs and retaliatory measures. The following visualization should illustrate this cycle through a flowchart or a series of connected nodes representing countries, tariffs, and trade volumes.

Example: Node 1: US imposes tariffs on Chinese goods. Node 2: China retaliates with tariffs on US goods. Node 3: Trade volumes decrease between both countries.

Conclusion

In conclusion, Trump’s inauguration economy tariffs significantly reshaped the economic landscape, both domestically and internationally. The policies implemented, along with the resulting trade wars and economic impacts, left a lasting mark on various sectors. The analysis reveals a complex interplay of factors, including the initial economic climate, policy decisions, and the subsequent economic performance. The alternative perspectives and criticisms highlight the multifaceted nature of the economic effects and the ongoing debates surrounding these policies.

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